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Valuation Framework
A framework for understanding and discussing valuation.
What's included
- Valuation methodologies
- Comparable analysis
- Negotiation strategies
- Dilution modeling
- Market conditions assessment
Best used when
- Term sheet negotiations
- Understanding valuations
- Fundraising strategy
- Board discussions
The template
The Template
VALUATION PHILOSOPHY
Understanding Startup Valuation
VALUATION PHILOSOPHY
WHY VALUATION MATTERS:
☐ Determines founder ownership
☐ Sets investor expectations
☐ Affects future fundraising
☐ Impacts employee equity value
☐ Creates accountability benchmarks
☐ Defines success metrics
VALUATION PRINCIPLES:
1. VALUATION IS NEGOTIATION
☐ Not a science, it's an art
☐ Leverage determines outcome
☐ Competition creates leverage
☐ FOMO is your friend
2. GROWTH RATE IS KING
☐ Growth rate = multiple
☐ Sustainable growth > spike
☐ Acceleration matters
☐ T2D3 pattern (triple 2x, double 3x)
3. QUALITY METRICS MATTER
☐ NRR > 100% = premium
☐ Gross margin > 70% = premium
☐ CAC payback < 18mo = premium
☐ Rule of 40 = premium
4. CONTEXT IS EVERYTHING
☐ Market conditions
☐ Sector sentiment
☐ Comparable exits
☐ Public market multiples
VALUATION DRIVERS:
| Factor | Impact on Multiple |
|--------|-------------------|
| Growth rate | Primary driver |
| Market size | Ceiling setter |
| Competitive moat | Premium justifier |
| Team quality | Risk reducer |
| Unit economics | Sustainability |
| Net retention | Compounding proof |
COMPREHENSIVE VALUATION METHODS
Multiple-Based Valuation
REVENUE MULTIPLE VALUATION
═══════════════════════════════════════
CURRENT METRICS
═══════════════════════════════════════
Revenue Metrics:
Current ARR: $_____
ARR Growth Rate (YoY): ____%
Last 12 Months Revenue: $_____
Next 12 Months (NTM) Projection: $_____
Quality Metrics:
Net Revenue Retention: ____%
Gross Revenue Retention: ____%
Gross Margin: ____%
LTV:CAC Ratio: _____x
CAC Payback: ___ months
Rule of 40 Calculation:
Growth Rate + Profit Margin = ____%
☐ >40% = Premium valuation justified
☐ 20-40% = Standard valuation
☐ <20% = Discount warranted
═══════════════════════════════════════
MULTIPLE DETERMINATION
═══════════════════════════════════════
BASE MULTIPLE (Growth-Adjusted):
| ARR Growth | Base Multiple Range |
|------------|---------------------|
| <25% | 3-5x ARR |
| 25-50% | 5-8x ARR |
| 50-75% | 8-12x ARR |
| 75-100% | 12-18x ARR |
| 100-150% | 18-25x ARR |
| >150% | 25-40x+ ARR |
Your growth rate: ____%
Base multiple range: _____x - _____x
ADJUSTMENTS:
| Factor | Impact | Adjustment |
|--------|--------|------------|
| NRR > 120% | Premium | +1-2x |
| NRR < 100% | Discount | -1-2x |
| GM > 80% | Premium | +0.5-1x |
| GM < 60% | Discount | -1-2x |
| LTV:CAC > 5x | Premium | +0.5-1x |
| LTV:CAC < 3x | Discount | -1-2x |
| Market leader | Premium | +1-3x |
| Crowded market | Discount | -1-2x |
| Hot sector | Premium | +2-5x |
| Cold sector | Discount | -2-5x |
Your adjustments:
☐ _____________: +/- ___x
☐ _____________: +/- ___x
☐ _____________: +/- ___x
Total adjustment: +/- ___x
FINAL MULTIPLE RANGE:
Floor: _____x ARR
Target: _____x ARR
Stretch: _____x ARR
═══════════════════════════════════════
VALUATION CALCULATION
═══════════════════════════════════════
CURRENT ARR METHOD:
ARR × Multiple = Valuation
$_____ × _____x = $_____
NTM REVENUE METHOD:
NTM Revenue × Multiple = Valuation
$_____ × _____x = $_____
FORWARD ARR METHOD (12mo forward):
Forward ARR × Multiple = Valuation
$_____ × _____x = $_____
VALUATION RANGE:
| Method | Low | Mid | High |
|--------|-----|-----|------|
| Current ARR | $_____M | $_____M | $_____M |
| NTM Revenue | $_____M | $_____M | $_____M |
| Forward ARR | $_____M | $_____M | $_____M |
Target Pre-Money Valuation: $_____M
Comparable Company Analysis
COMPARABLE COMPANY ANALYSIS
═══════════════════════════════════════
COMPARABLE SELECTION
═══════════════════════════════════════
Selection Criteria:
☐ Similar business model
☐ Similar market/segment
☐ Similar stage/scale
☐ Recent funding (within 18 months)
PUBLIC COMPARABLES:
| Company | ARR | Growth | NRR | EV/Rev Multiple |
|---------|-----|--------|-----|-----------------|
| | $___M | ___% | ___% | _____x |
| | $___M | ___% | ___% | _____x |
| | $___M | ___% | ___% | _____x |
| | $___M | ___% | ___% | _____x |
| Average | | | | _____x |
| Median | | | | _____x |
PRIVATE COMPARABLES (Recent Rounds):
| Company | Stage | ARR | Valuation | Multiple |
|---------|-------|-----|-----------|----------|
| | | $___M | $_____M | _____x |
| | | $___M | $_____M | _____x |
| | | $___M | $_____M | _____x |
| | | $___M | $_____M | _____x |
| Average | | | | _____x |
| Median | | | | _____x |
═══════════════════════════════════════
YOUR POSITIONING VS. COMPS
═══════════════════════════════════════
| Metric | You | Comp Avg | Premium/Discount |
|--------|-----|----------|------------------|
| Growth Rate | ___% | ___% | |
| NRR | ___% | ___% | |
| Gross Margin | ___% | ___% | |
| LTV:CAC | _____x | _____x | |
| Market Position | | | |
Warranted Multiple vs. Comp Average:
☐ Higher because: _______________
☐ Similar because: _______________
☐ Lower because: _______________
IMPLIED VALUATION FROM COMPS:
Comp median multiple: _____x
Your ARR: $_____M
Implied valuation: $_____M
Adjustment for your positioning: +/-____%
Adjusted valuation: $_____M
NEGOTIATION STRATEGY
Valuation Negotiation Framework
VALUATION NEGOTIATION STRATEGY
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PRE-NEGOTIATION PREPARATION
═══════════════════════════════════════
YOUR WALK-AWAY:
Minimum acceptable valuation: $_____M
Maximum acceptable dilution: ____%
Why this is the floor: _______________
YOUR TARGET:
Target valuation: $_____M
Target dilution: ____%
Why this is achievable: _______________
YOUR STRETCH:
Aspirational valuation: $_____M
What would justify it: _______________
LEVERAGE ASSESSMENT:
☐ Multiple competing term sheets
☐ Strong recent metrics
☐ FOMO-inducing momentum
☐ Reputation/track record
☐ Hot sector
Leverage score: ☐ High ☐ Medium ☐ Low
═══════════════════════════════════════
NEGOTIATION TACTICS
═══════════════════════════════════════
IF YOU HAVE LEVERAGE:
☐ Don't reveal your first number
☐ Let competition drive the price
☐ Focus on terms, not just price
☐ Create time pressure
☐ Be willing to walk away
IF YOU DON'T HAVE LEVERAGE:
☐ Anchor high but reasonable
☐ Justify with data and comps
☐ Negotiate on multiple axes
☐ Look for creative structures
☐ Consider valuation trade-offs
VALUATION TRADE-OFFS:
| Give | Get |
|------|-----|
| Lower valuation | Better terms |
| Higher valuation | Worse terms |
| Higher dilution | Stronger partner |
| Lower dilution | Less support |
CREATIVE STRUCTURES:
☐ Milestone-based valuation ratchets
☐ Anti-dilution adjustments
☐ Liquidation preference trades
☐ Board seat negotiations
═══════════════════════════════════════
ANCHORING STRATEGIES
═══════════════════════════════════════
ANCHOR HIGH APPROACH:
Start at: $_____M (stretch)
Expect to settle: $_____M (target)
Be satisfied at: $_____M (floor)
JUSTIFICATION TALKING POINTS:
1. "Based on comps like [Company], we see
[X]x multiples for companies at our stage..."
2. "Our growth trajectory puts us on track
for [ARR] in 12 months, which at [X]x..."
3. "Given our [metric] is top decile, we
believe a premium multiple is justified..."
4. "We have competing interest from [signal]
and need to move quickly at [price]..."
DILUTION ANALYSIS
Comprehensive Dilution Calculator
DILUTION MODELING
═══════════════════════════════════════
CURRENT CAP TABLE
═══════════════════════════════════════
| Shareholder | Shares | % Ownership |
|-------------|--------|-------------|
| Founder 1 | _____ | ___% |
| Founder 2 | _____ | ___% |
| Prior Investors | _____ | ___% |
| ESOP (Allocated) | _____ | ___% |
| ESOP (Unallocated) | _____ | ___% |
| **Total** | **_____** | **100%** |
═══════════════════════════════════════
ROUND TERMS
═══════════════════════════════════════
Pre-money valuation: $_____M
Raise amount: $_____M
Post-money valuation: $_____M
Option pool increase: ___% (pre-money)
Effective pre-money after pool: $_____M
Price per share calculation:
Post-money / Total shares = $_____
New shares issued:
Raise amount / Price = _____ shares
═══════════════════════════════════════
POST-ROUND CAP TABLE
═══════════════════════════════════════
| Shareholder | Pre Shares | Post Shares | Pre % | Post % | Dilution |
|-------------|------------|-------------|-------|--------|----------|
| Founder 1 | _____ | _____ | ___% | ___% | -___%pp |
| Founder 2 | _____ | _____ | ___% | ___% | -___%pp |
| Prior Investors | _____ | _____ | ___% | ___% | -___%pp |
| ESOP | _____ | _____ | ___% | ___% | +___%pp |
| New Investor | 0 | _____ | 0% | ___% | +___%pp |
| **Total** | **_____** | **_____** | **100%** | **100%** | |
═══════════════════════════════════════
DILUTION IMPACT
═══════════════════════════════════════
Founder 1:
Pre-money ownership: ____%
Post-money ownership: ____%
Dilution this round: ____%
Value pre-round: $_____M
Value post-round: $_____M
Total dilution since founding:
Starting ownership: 100%
After Seed: ____%
After Series A: ____%
After Series B: ____%
Current: ____%
═══════════════════════════════════════
OPTION POOL IMPACT
═══════════════════════════════════════
Option pool expansion: ____%
PRE-MONEY POOL (Founders bear dilution):
Pool increase: _____% → _____%
Effective dilution to founders: ____%
POST-MONEY POOL (All share dilution):
Pool increase: _____% → _____%
Shared dilution: ____%
EFFECTIVE VALUATION DIFFERENCE:
Stated pre-money: $_____M
Pool increase value: $_____M
Effective pre-money: $_____M
Difference: -$_____M (___%)
Multi-Round Dilution Model
| Round | Raise | Pre-Money | Dilution | Founder % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | - | - | - | 100% |
| Pre-Seed | $_____M | $_____M | ___% | ___% |
| Seed | $_____M | $_____M | ___% | ___% |
| Series A | $_____M | $_____M | ___% | ___% |
| Series B | $_____M | $_____M | ___% | ___% |
| Exit | - | $_____M | - | ___% |
Exit Scenario Analysis
EXIT VALUE ANALYSIS
═══════════════════════════════════════
EXIT SCENARIOS
═══════════════════════════════════════
| Scenario | Exit Value | Founder % | Founder Value |
|----------|------------|-----------|---------------|
| Downside | $_____M | ___% | $_____M |
| Base Case | $_____M | ___% | $_____M |
| Upside | $_____M | ___% | $_____M |
| Home Run | $_____M | ___% | $_____M |
LIQUIDATION PREFERENCE IMPACT:
Total preferences: $_____M
Exit value needed to clear prefs: $_____M
| Exit Value | To Investors | To Founders |
|------------|--------------|-------------|
| $_____M | $_____ (___%) | $_____ (___%) |
| $_____M | $_____ (___%) | $_____ (___%) |
| $_____M | $_____ (___%) | $_____ (___%) |
| $_____M | $_____ (___%) | $_____ (___%) |
PARTICIPATION IMPACT (if applicable):
With participation, investors receive:
Preference + (Remaining × Ownership %)
= $_____ + ($_____ × ___%) = $_____
Cap on participation: $_____
Valuation Summary
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Target Pre-Money | $_____M |
| Raise Amount | $_____M |
| Post-Money | $_____M |
| Implied Multiple | _____x ARR |
| Founder Dilution | ___% |
| Post-Round Founder % | ___% |
Frequently asked questions
What is the Valuation Framework?
A framework for understanding and discussing valuation.
Who is the Valuation Framework for?
It is built for CEOs and their teams working on Fundraising. The AI coach adapts it to your company, stage, and goals.
How long does the Valuation Framework take to use?
It saves roughly 40+ hours versus building from scratch. Our AI coach can tailor the framework to your situation in minutes, then hand you a step-by-step plan.
Is the Valuation Framework free?
Yes. You can read the full framework and start getting coached through it for free. Sign in to save your tailored version and track your next steps.
How does the AI coach help with the Valuation Framework?
The coach teaches you the framework, asks a few questions about your business, tailors the framework to you, and gives you measurable next steps to execute.